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The plague of 6:5 blackjack has been well documented here. (See 6 to 5 Blackjack? Just say No! and The Casino Floor as a Minefield.)

If you have any other game choices available, you should not be playing a game that pays only 6:5 on blackjack.

Yet some players do play these games. Don’t worry, I’m not going to chastise you if you sometimes play these games. But I do want to make sure that you are not making a bad game even worse…

How to Give Away Money

Several players have told me that when they are playing a 6:5 game and are dealt a blackjack, they choose to double down on the blackjack as an eleven instead. Ack! No. No. No. Let me explain just how bad an idea this is.

Let’s say you are a $10 player, and are dealt a blackjack at a 6:5 game. Assuming that the dealer doesn’t also have a blackjack, you’ll win $12 on the hand. Guaranteed, with no chance of losing money. This hand is worth $12. Period.

If you decide to double down on the blackjack instead, you’re risking another bet with the hope of winning $20 instead of $12. But you’re giving up the guarantee of a win. Let’s see how that works:

A Bird in the Hand

Let’s take the best possible scenario, a single deck game where the dealer stands on all 17s. We are dealt a blackjack against a dealer upcard of 5. If we let the dealer pay the blackjack, we collect our 6:5 guaranteed win of $12. That’s our “bird in the hand”. For doubling to be a better strategy, our yield on the double down needs to average more than $12. And it’s not even close. Let’s look at what happens when we double.

Two in the Bush

Now we are doubling our bet to $20 and drawing one more card. Remember, I chose the best possible hand for this… (Ace,Ten) vs a dealer 5.

This is a very strong double down hand, but even so, it will win only 63% of the time. 7% of the time we will push, and 30% of the time we will lose. (Here’s how to calculate the value if you are interested: (63% – 30%) X $20 = $6.60. Actually, I rounded off the percentages a bit so the exact answer is slightly different…)

The value of this doubled bet of $20 works out to just $6.82. That’s only a little over HALF the value of the 6:5 blackjack.

In this case, A Bird in the Hand is definitely worth more than Two in the Bush. Every time a $10 bettor chooses to double down on his blackjack, he’s giving the casino an extra five bucks and change. Don’t do it!

6:5 Blackjack sucks. Don’t make it even worse. Do Not Double Down on Blackjack!

Who Has The Advantage at Blackjack?

Blackjack is different from other casino games.Games like craps, roulette and baccarat are games of chance, where each play is an independent event, which is the mathematician's
way of saying that whatever occurs in previous rounds of play has no bearing on the current outcome.

For example, with roulette, the house will maintain a constant edge against the player.American roulette wheels have 36 numbers colored red or black, and zero and double zero spots colored green.If the color red has come up ten times in a row on an American wheel, what is the probability of the next spin of the wheel landing on a red number?

Regardless of the previous outcomes, the odds of rolling a red number on the next spin of wheel are 18 chances out of 38 numbers or 47.37%.

Blackjack is unique among casino table games in that the odds change after every hand is played.How well the player does is also dependent on the player's skill at playing his hands and his betting strategy.

Many people believe that it is impossible to win in any casino game and that winning is just a matter of luck.Luck may be a factor in winning or losing in any game of chance; however, blackjack is primarily a game of skill, not chance.

The only advantage the dealer has over the player is that the player must play out his hand before the dealer plays his.If both the player and the dealer bust (go over 21), the dealer will win.Considering that a player will bust on the average about 28% of the time, this advantage is not
insignificant.

The easiest way to assess a dealer's chance of busting is with the information revealed by turning over one of his cards.The following chart shows the dealer's chance of busting depending on his up-card.The chart also shows the player's win/loss rate with each dealer up-card.

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The dealer's worst up-cards are 2 through 6, which may be possible stiff hands.The dealer must hit these hands regardless of the value of his hole card, and the probability of busting is high.

On the other hand, if the dealer shows a 7 through Ace as his up-card, the dealer is more likely to have a pat hand — a hand on which he can stand without drawing.

Table Showing Player's Win-Loss Rate With Each Dealer Up-Card

The Player's Advantages

While the dealer's advantage is formidable, the player has several potential advantages over the dealer:

1.The player will receive a payoff of 3 to 2 on his blackjacks while the dealer will not.The players do not have to pay the dealer 3 to 2 when the dealer has a blackjack (a natural).

2. The player has flexible playing options while the dealer does not.Thus a dealer must hit a stiff hand (a hand totaling 12 through 16) even if he has the players beaten by standing.

3.The player has the option of doubling down so that he can get more money on the table during favorable situations.

4.The player can split pairs, allowing him to improve poor hands or to take advantage of the dealer's potentially weaker hands.

5.The player can take insurance, while this option is not available to the dealer.

6. When offered, the player can surrender a poor hand, forfeiting only one-half of his wager.The dealer never has this option.

As you can see, the house's sole edge arises from the fact that the player must play first.Because of this, if the player breaks, the house wins immediately, even if thedealer would have busted had he been forced to play his ownhand out!It has occurred to more than one player than
mimicking the dealer may be the best way to play.However, if you decided to do this, you would give the house an edge of about 8%.This is the house's initial edge in blackjack.

So what can you do about this?You will notice that except for the dealer's advantage in acting first, every other rule favors the player.The dealer has no options whatsoever and must follow a fixed set of rules in a robot-like fashion.As a result, the ultimate edge the house has against a
player is dependent upon how well the player exercises his options.

If you can just learn to hit, stand, double down and split pairs properly, you will reduce the house advantage to about 1/2% in a multi-deck shoe game with typical blackjack rules.In many of the Internet games, you can play even with or at an advantage over the casino just by learning proper playing rules!

One system clearly stands out as a proven method of beating both land-based and online blackjack games.The Power Blackjack Strategy uses a simple, but powerful, playing
strategy coupled with a dynamic proven betting strategy to gain an edge over any blackjack game.

You may have avoided learning to beat the blackjack game because the typical rules presented are just too overwhelming.Card counters are expected to memorize hundreds of rules and then sit for hours, calmly tabulating a running total of card values and trying to look calm.

Believe me there is a better way to play blackjack and win consistently.If you are put off by complex rules, you will love this strategy.Everything you need to do to win is presented in an easy-to-follow step-by-step manner.There is even a simplified playing strategy that has 99% of the effectiveness of the advanced strategies yet you can learn it cold in five minutes!

If you want an easy, proven way to develop a sizable income from playing blackjack, I invite you to try the Power Blackjack Strategy.It is now in easy-to-access downloadable form and can be in your hands five minutes from now.

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Yours for setting up your own powerful blackjack winning system,

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Blackjack Double Down Ne Demek 2017

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